The main consequences of our growing National Debt (2024)

The national debt is currently at $23.2trillionand counting. This is the equivalent of $70,403in debt per person living in the U.S. or the equivalent of Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos' net worth of $115billion multiplied by 200.

Hard to believe, right? So, what are the main consequences of the National Debt?

  • Decreased savings and income

  • Higher interest costs

  • Lack of flexibility

  • Risks of a new crisis

The sheer magnitude of the federal debt is hard to wrap one's mind around, and federal revenues aren't keeping up with federal borrowing. The current federal debt represents 621 percent of annual federal revenues. The ratio of the federal debt to the GDP will be around 113% in 2020 according to Trading Economics econometric models.This ratio hasn't exceeded 70 percent since World War II, a sign that federal spending has spiraled out of control.

Main consequences of National Debt

There are some extremely concerning consequences to the current level of federal debt.

Decreased savings and income

The government borrowing money means that more treasury securities are issued and compete against securities issued by the private sector. The government's need to borrow will eventually exceed the savings available, and even though more households and businesses are purchasing treasury securities, national savings will reach a low point in comparison to the size of the federal debt.
Treasury securities with high-interest rates will make saving more appealing than investing for businesses. The private sector will stop seeking investments that can generate growth due to the incentive to save. This includes the lower amount of capital available once individuals stop investing in securities offered by businesses due to treasury securities being more attractive.

This lack of investment will result in low productivity and create an environment where work produces little value and wages decrease.

Higher interest costs

Interest rates are still low, so this consequence isn't felt yet. However, the current rate of federal borrowing will eventually lead to higher interest costs. The federal funds rate will have to be increased in the near future to make up for inflation. This means that the federal deficit will grow exponentially, and reducing it will become increasingly difficult.

The only way to lower the deficit will be to implement high tax rates and reduce federal spending. This situation will result in a lower disposable income for Americans, whether high tax rates reduce their paycheck and incentive to work, or whether a future administration cuts expenses by reducing Social Security benefits.

Lack of flexibility

A small federal deficit gives an administration plenty of room to borrow at low rates in the short-term. This is a strategy that an administration might have to use in case of a recession, natural disaster, or war.
This flexibility is reduced as the federal debt increases. We are in a situation where it would be difficult for the current administration to secure additional funding at a low rate in the short-term. This considerably limits the government's ability to prepare and respond to an event.

During the 2008 Recession, the debt-to-GDP ratio was under 40 percent. The government was able to secure additional funding to make up for reduced tax revenues and increase spending. This type of response would be more difficult to implement with the current debt-to-GDP ratio.

Risks of a new crisis

The main consequences of our growing National Debt (3)

The current borrowing rate will eventually create a situation where it will become increasingly difficult for the administration to secure more funds. Interest rates will go up, which means the pace at which the federal is growing will accelerate.

This is a cycle that can't be sustained, which means a major economic correction will have to happen. Possible scenarios include the U.S. debt being discounted, other countries no longer buying the U.S. debt, or the stock market performing poorly due to a loss of confidence in federal fiscal policies. The crisis could also take the form of a high inflation rate or devalued dollar.

It is unclear where the tipping point is since the current rate of government borrowing hasn't been matched in recent history. Balancing the budget doesn't seem to be a priority for the current administration, but you can make a difference by drawing attention to this issue and advocating for new spending policies.

Check out our charts and learnmore about our fiscal challenges in our blog“7 U.S. National Debt Charts that Explain our Fiscal Challenges: Debt by Year and More“

Take Action!

Visit ItsUpToUs.org to find out how you can increase awareness for the growing federal debt and other issues that will affect our future. You can also stay civically engaged by checking out this cool book list. What are you waiting for? There are many ways to stay civically engaged.

The main consequences of our growing National Debt (2024)

FAQs

The main consequences of our growing National Debt? ›

Decreased savings and income

What are the consequences of rising national debt? ›

Rising debt means fewer economic opportunities for Americans. Rising debt reduces business investment and slows economic growth. It also increases expectations of higher rates of inflation and erosion of confidence in the U.S. dollar.

What are the consequences of the US being in such extreme debt? ›

The U.S. national debt has soared to historic levels relative to the size of the U.S. economy. Many economists say that a rapidly mounting debt load could soon diminish U.S. economic growth, restrict government spending on important programs, and raise the likelihood of financial crises.

What are the consequences of debt? ›

Potential impacts of money and debt stress

There's a strong link between debt and poor mental health. People with debt are more likely to face common mental health issues, such as prolonged stress, depression, and anxiety. Debt can affect your physical well-being, too.

What are the main causes of our national debt? ›

The federal government needs to borrow money to pay its bills when its ongoing spending activities and investments cannot be funded by federal revenues alone. Decreases in federal revenue are largely due to either a decrease in tax rates or individuals or corporations making less money.

Why is an increase in national debt damaging for its economy? ›

The more government debt that is issued, the less demand there is for private debt or the higher interest rates private debt must offer in order to attract investors. Less demand for, or higher interest rates on, private debt leads to lower investment spending and a weaker economy.

What are the 3 major factors causing the national debt to grow? ›

Note. Tax cuts, stimulus programs, increased government spending, and decreased tax revenue caused by widespread unemployment account for sharp rises in the national debt.

What happens if the US defaults? ›

Economic recession or slowdown: A default could undermine investor and consumer confidence, leading to reduced spending and investment. This could also result in an economic slowdown or even a recession, affecting businesses, job creation and overall economic growth.

What would happen if America was debt free? ›

What would happen if the US stopped paying back any national debt? Two things would happen almost immediately: Up to 70 million Americans, whose Social Security and Medicare payments would run out of cash, as most of the huge surpluses are invested in Treasury bonds.

Who is America in debt to? ›

The public owes 74 percent of the current federal debt. Intragovernmental debt accounts for 26 percent or $5.9 trillion. The public includes foreign investors and foreign governments. These two groups account for 30 percent of the debt.

What are three consequences of debt? ›

There are at least four separate consequences of rising debt that can adversely affect the current and subsequent performance of an economy. These include transfers, financial distress, bezzle (or fictional wealth), and additional spillover adjustment costs termed hysteresis.

What are 4 disadvantages of having debt? ›

Debt finance has some disadvantages, including:
  • Loan repayment. One downside of debt financing is that a business is required to repay it. ...
  • High rates. ...
  • Restrictions. ...
  • Collateral. ...
  • Stringent requirements. ...
  • Cash flow issues. ...
  • Credit rating issues.
Sep 30, 2022

Why debt is a bad thing? ›

Having too much debt can make it difficult to save and put additional strain on your budget. Consider the total costs before you borrow—and not just the monthly payment. It might sound strange, but not all debt is "bad." Certain types of debt can actually provide opportunities to improve your financial future.

Should we worry about the national debt? ›

He said debt is an important tool for a country, and its importance is why we should be so concerned. Cochrane points out that during the Great Recession and the COVID-19 shutdown, the United States was able to swoop in fast with billions for bailouts, stimulus checks and aid programs.

Why does US debt keep increasing? ›

Debt rises when the U.S. spends more than it earns from taxes and other revenue. The public debt results from tax and spending policies that commonly garner public support, but individuals often worry about how the national debt affects their lives and finances.

Who owns most of the US debt? ›

Nearly half of all US foreign-owned debt comes from five countries. All values are adjusted to 2023 dollars. As of January 2023, the five countries owning the most US debt are Japan ($1.1 trillion), China ($859 billion), the United Kingdom ($668 billion), Belgium ($331 billion), and Luxembourg ($318 billion).

Will the national debt cause inflation? ›

Yes, national debts affect inflation rates—but so do many other items.

What are the effects of national debt quizlet? ›

(1) As the national debt grows, the amount MANDATORY spending increases. This leaves less money for DISCRESTIONARY spending, which means that the gov. will have to cut such spending, raise taxes, or even borrow more.

What is one of the potential consequences of the public debt is that it may? ›

Question: One of the potential consequences of the public debt is that it mayMultiple Choicelead to additional future taxes that reduce economic incentives.

Who do we owe the national debt to? ›

There are two kinds of national debt: intragovernmental and public. Intragovernmental is debt held by the Federal Reserve and Social Security and other government agencies. Public debt is held by the public: individual investors, institutions, foreign governments.

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