By 2034, the gross federal debt of the United States is projected to be about 54.39 trillion U.S. dollars. This would be an increase of around 21 trillion U.S. dollars from 2023, when the federal debt was around 33 trillion U.S. dollars.
The federal debt of the U.S.
The federal debt, also called the national debt or public debt, is the amount of debt held by the United States government. This debt may be to other countries, or to different departments within the government itself. The public debt of the United States has increased significantly over the past 30 years, as it was around 3.2 trillion U.S. dollars in 1990 and surpassed 30 trillion dollars for the first time in 2022. When broken down per capita, the national debt amounted to about 80,885 U.S. dollars of debt per person in the United States in 2021.
The problem of the federal debt
Over the past decade, the federal debt limit in the United States has increased significantly. The U.S. debt ceiling can only be changed by an act of Congress which is then signed by the president. The raising of the ceiling has become a recurring political issue in recent years, especially during times when the Presidency and chambers of Congress are controlled by different parties.
The debt ceiling is a tool that allows the Treasury to issue bonds without congressional approval, allowing for efficiency in the way that the government pays for programs and services. It is thought to be further valuable in that it keeps federal finances in check. However, when the two parties are unable to come to an agreement on raising the debt ceiling, the government comes to a shutdown because they can no longer fund themselves. The Republican Party in particular often positions itself against raising the federal debt ceiling, characterizing themselves as the party of fiscal conservativism. However, analyses have shown that both parties have contributed to the country's debt in almost equal measures.
FAQs
By 2034, the gross federal debt of the United States is projected to be about 54.39 trillion U.S. dollars. This would be an increase of around 21 trillion U.S. dollars from 2023, when the federal debt was around 33 trillion U.S. dollars.
What will the national debt be in 10 years? ›
By then, the debt is projected to surpass $54 trillion. Interest rates have surged to two-decade highs over the past year, making borrowing costs an increasingly significant contributor to the national debt. From 2024 to 2034, the United States will spend more than $12 trillion alone on interest costs.
What is the US national debt in 2024? ›
U.S. publicly held debt 2013-2024
In March 2024, the public debt of the United States was around 34.59 trillion U.S. dollars, almost two trillion more than in July when it was around 32.6 trillion U.S. dollars.
What is the national debt in 2028? ›
Debt held by the public is expected (Congressional Budget Office Outlook) to rise from 78% of GDP ($16 trillion) at the end of 2018 to 96% GDP ($29 trillion) by 2028. That would be the highest level since the end of World War II.
Is the US national debt increasing or decreasing? ›
As of April 2024 it costs $624 billion to maintain the debt, which is 16% of the total federal spending in fiscal year 2024. The national debt has increased every year over the past ten years.
What will US debt be in 2040? ›
When Does Federal Debt Reach Unsustainable Levels?
| Year | CBO | +250 b.p. |
|---|
| 2035 | 120 | 174 |
| 2040 | 134 | 210 |
| 2045 | 150 | 248 |
| 2050 | 169 | 303 |
3 more rowsOct 6, 2023
Because of the large deficits, federal debt held by the public is projected to grow, from 81 percent of GDP in 2020 to 98 percent in 2030 (its highest percentage since 1946). By 2050, debt would be 180 percent of GDP—far higher than it has ever been (see Chapter 1).
How high can the national debt go? ›
But this pattern has changed in recent decades. Unless current revenue and spending policies change, by 2028 debt will reach its historical high of 106 percent of GDP, according to our simulation. If unaddressed, it will grow more than twice as fast as the economy and reach 200 percent of GDP by 2050.
At what point is the national debt unsustainable? ›
US debt will become unsustainable in roughly 20 years if it doesn't change course, a Penn Wharton Budget Model determined. After that, no amount of tax hikes or spending cuts could prevent default "whether explicitly or implicitly."
How much is China in debt? ›
China: National debt from 2019 to 2029 (in billion U.S. dollars)
| Characteristic | National debt in billion U.S. dollars |
|---|
| 2022 | 12,797.79 |
| 2021 | 11,358.74 |
| 2020 | 9,931.52 |
| 2019 | 8,261.98 |
7 more rowsRussia National Government Debt reached 281.6 USD bn in Feb 2024, compared with 287.8 USD bn in the previous month. Russia National Government Debt data is updated monthly, available from May 2009 to Feb 2024. The data reached an all-time high of 384.2 USD bn in Jun 2022 and a record low of 86.1 USD bn in May 2009.
Will the US ever get out of debt? ›
Why History Shows the United States Will Not Grow Out of Its Debt. The United States is approaching record levels of debt. Debt held by the public totaled 97 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) at the end of 2022 and is on track to exceed its previous all-time high, which occurred just after World II, by 2029.
Who is the largest holder of the U.S. debt? ›
The largest holder of U.S. debt is the U.S government. Which agencies own the most Treasury notes, bills, and bonds? Social Security, by a long shot. The U.S. Treasury publishes this information in its monthly Treasury statement.
How can the US get out of debt? ›
- Bonds. Using Debt to Pay Debt. ...
- Interest Rates. Maintaining interest rates at low levels can help stimulate the economy, generate tax revenue, and, ultimately, reduce the national debt. ...
- Spending Cuts. From 1921 to 1974, the President led the government budgeting process. ...
- Raising Taxes. ...
- Bailout or Default.
A nation saddled with debt will have less to invest in its own future. Rising debt means fewer economic opportunities for Americans. Rising debt reduces business investment and slows economic growth. It also increases expectations of higher rates of inflation and erosion of confidence in the U.S. dollar.
Why is America in so much debt? ›
One of the main culprits is consistently overspending. When the federal government spends more than its budget, it creates a deficit. In the fiscal year of 2023, it spent about $381 billion more than it collected in revenues. To pay that deficit, the government borrows money.
What is the future prediction for the US debt? ›
The national debt will rise substantially over the coming decades. Debt held by the public equaled 97 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) at the end of fiscal year 2023. Under current law, CBO projects that ratio will continue to climb — reaching 166 percent of GDP in 2054.
What is the future of the US national debt? ›
Relative to the size of the economy, U.S. federal debt is larger now than at any time since the end of World War II. Under current policies, the debt is expected to climb from around 75 percent of the Gross Domestic Product today to over 120 percent by 2040, and keep growing after that.
What is the future of the US debt? ›
Debt held by the public, boosted by the large deficits, reaches its highest level ever in 2029 (measured as a percentage of GDP) and then continues to grow, reaching 166 percent of GDP in 2054 and remaining on track to increase thereafter.
At what point will the national debt be unsustainable? ›
US debt will become unsustainable and trigger default in about 20 years, if it stays on current path. US debt will become unsustainable in roughly 20 years if it doesn't change course, a Penn Wharton Budget Model determined.
