The Rule of 90 | TrendSpider Learning Center (2024)

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Trading in financial markets has always been an alluring endeavor. The prospect of financial independence, the allure of fast gains, and the excitement of the market’s ups and downs attract countless new traders every day. However, the world of trading is not for the faint of heart. It is a high-stakes game where many are lured by the promise of quick riches but ultimately face harsh realities. One of the harsh realities of trading is the “Rule of 90,” which suggests that 90% of new traders lose 90% of their starting capital within 90 days of their first trade. In this article, we’ll delve into what this rule means, why it exists, and how traders can navigate these challenges to improve their chances of success.

Understanding the Rule of 90

The Rule of 90 is a grim statistic that serves as a sobering reminder of the difficulty of trading. According to this rule, 90% of novice traders will experience significant losses within their first 90 days of trading, ultimately wiping out 90% of their initial capital. While this rule may seem like an exaggeration or a harsh generalization, it highlights a genuine issue in the world of trading: the steep learning curve and inherent risks.

Reasons Behind the Rule

Several factors contribute to the high failure rate among new traders:

  1. Lack of Education: Many newcomers to the world of trading dive in without adequately educating themselves about the markets, trading strategies, and risk management. This lack of knowledge can lead to costly mistakes.
  2. Emotional Trading: Emotions, such as fear and greed, can cloud a trader’s judgment and lead to impulsive decision-making. Emotional trading often results in losses.
  3. Lack of a Solid Plan: Successful traders develop well-defined trading plans that include entry and exit strategies, risk management, and clear goals. Novices often trade without a plan, increasing their vulnerability to losses.
  4. Overleveraging: Overleveraging, or trading with excessive borrowed funds, can amplify gains but also magnify losses. Many inexperienced traders fall into this trap.
  5. Unrealistic Expectations: New traders may enter the market with unrealistic expectations of making quick profits. When these expectations aren’t met, frustration and disappointment can set in.

Navigating the Challenges

While the Rule of 90 paints a bleak picture, it’s essential to remember that trading is not inherently a losing proposition. Many successful traders have overcome these challenges through dedication, discipline, and continuous learning. Here are some strategies to help new traders increase their chances of success:

  1. Education: Invest time in learning about the financial markets, trading strategies, and risk management. There are numerous online courses, books, and educational resources available.
  2. Start Small: Begin with a small trading account and trade with money you can afford to lose. This approach reduces the emotional pressure and financial risk.
  3. Develop a Trading Plan: Create a comprehensive trading plan that includes clear entry and exit strategies, risk management rules, and realistic goals. Stick to your plan, and don’t let emotions dictate your decisions.
  4. Practice with a Demo Account: Many brokers offer demo accounts where you can practice trading with virtual money. This allows you to hone your skills and test your strategies without risking real capital.
  5. Manage Risk: Implement strict risk management techniques, such as setting stop-loss orders and never risking more than a small percentage of your capital on a single trade.
  6. Control Your Emotions: Learn to manage your emotions, particularly fear and greed. Emotion-driven decisions often lead to losses.
  7. Learn from Mistakes: It’s essential to analyze your losing trades and learn from your mistakes. Each loss can be a valuable lesson if you use it to improve your trading strategy.

The Bottom Line

The Rule of 90 serves as a stark reminder of the challenges faced by new traders in the world of financial markets. While the road to trading success is riddled with obstacles, it’s not insurmountable. With education, discipline, and the right mindset, aspiring traders can increase their odds of success and avoid becoming a statistic in the Rule of 90. Trading is not a get-rich-quick scheme, but a journey that demands dedication, continuous learning, and the ability to adapt to the ever-changing landscape of the financial markets.

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The Rule of 90 | TrendSpider Learning Center (2024)

FAQs

What is the 90% rule in trading? ›

It is a high-stakes game where many are lured by the promise of quick riches but ultimately face harsh realities. One of the harsh realities of trading is the “Rule of 90,” which suggests that 90% of new traders lose 90% of their starting capital within 90 days of their first trade.

What is the best moving average crossover strategy? ›

The best way to trade moving average is to use the crossover strategy, where a shorter-period moving average crossing above a longer-period moving average generates a bullish signal, and vice versa for a bearish signal. This method helps indicate potential changes in the market trend.

Is TrendSpider worth it? ›

On the whole, TrendSpider feedback skews very positive, earning it a reputable 4.5 out of 5 average user rating across review platforms. Both beginners and advanced traders widely praise its automated analysis capabilities - which set it apart from competitors like Thinkorswim or TradingView.

What is a simple moving average strategy? ›

A simple moving averages trading strategy is employed by traders to chart the price movement of a security and ignore the day-to-day price fluctuations. Traders can compare short, medium, and long-term trends over large periods. A 200-bar simple moving average is usually used as a substitute for the long-term trend.

What is No 1 rule of trading? ›

Rule 1: Always Use a Trading Plan

You need a trading plan because it can assist you with making coherent trading decisions and define the boundaries of your optimal trade. A decent trading plan will assist you with avoiding making passionate decisions without giving it much thought.

Why 90 people fail in trading? ›

Most traders fail because they do not invest enough time and effort in learning about the markets and trading strategies. They enter the market without a proper plan or strategy, which leads them to make poor decisions and lose money. Another reason why traders lose money is because of emotional decisions.

Which crossover is the most reliable in trading? ›

A golden cross and a death cross are opposing indicators. The golden cross confirms a long-term bull market going forward, while a death cross signals a long-term bear market. Either crossover is considered more significant when accompanied by high trading volume.

Does moving average crossover really work? ›

A technical tool known as a moving average crossover can help you identify when to get in and out. Because moving averages are a lagging indicator, the crossover technique may not capture exact tops and bottoms. But it can help you identify the bulk of a trend.

Why is TrendSpider so expensive? ›

Our pricing reflects the comprehensive and premium nature of the product, its data feeds, advanced analysis capabilities, and robust automation tools.

Is TradingView better than TrendSpider? ›

For most day traders and swing traders, TrendSpider is better due to its advanced charting and automation capabilities. But TradingView is a better choice for casual or new traders due to the intuitive interface, social features and free plan.

Who owns TrendSpider? ›

Dan Ushman is the founder and CEO of TrendSpider.

What are the three best moving averages? ›

For identifying significant, long-term support and resistance levels and overall trends, the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages are the most common.

What is the 3 30 formula? ›

This rule suggests that a stock's price tends to move in cycles, with the first 3 days after a major event often showing the most significant price change. Then, there's usually a period of around 30 days where the stock's price stabilizes or corrects before potentially starting a new cycle [1].

Which moving average indicator is best? ›

The exponential moving average, or EMA, gives more weight to recent price data than the simple moving average, or SMA, enabling it to react and move more quickly than the SMA. The EMA is very popular in stock, futures and forex trading, and is often the basis of a trading strategy.

What is the 80% rule in trading? ›

The Rule. If, after trading outside the Value Area, we then trade back into the Value Area (VA) and the market closes inside the VA in one of the 30 minute brackets then there is an 80% chance that the market will trade back to the other side of the VA.

What is the 70/20/10 rule for trading? ›

Part one of the rule said that in the next 12 months, the return you got on a stock was 70% determined by what the U.S. stock market did, 20% was determined by how the industry group did and 10% was based on how undervalued and successful the individual company was.

What is the 5 3 1 rule in trading? ›

The 5-3-1 strategy is especially helpful for new traders who may be overwhelmed by the dozens of currency pairs available and the 24-7 nature of the market. The numbers five, three, and one stand for: Five currency pairs to learn and trade. Three strategies to become an expert on and use with your trades.

What is the 123 rule in trading? ›

One of them is 1-2-3. Graphically it looks like a combination of three extremes, the second of which is a correctional one. In this case, in the conditions of the bullish market, point 3 is always below point 1. If the situation is controlled by bears, point 3, on the contrary, will be located above point 1.

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