The Opening Range | The PAX Group (2024)

GLOSSARY

AlgosBoardBreakeven StopMarket On Close – MOCMatchMid-Week ShuffleOutside Reversal Higher – ORHOutside Reversal Lower – ORLPay for the tradePrice ActionRisk On/OffRunner(s)Scratch StopSPU/BONDTime Frame TradingTrade Location

Algos

Computer driven high frequency trading machines.Synthetic trading machines that utilize highly advanced algorithms ( synthetic Intelligence). These Boxes rely on humans for programming and turning the power switch on and off.

Board

This refers to the “Quote Board” which is comprised of all the MAJOR World Bond, Currency, Stocks, Stock Indices and Commodity Markets.

Breakeven Stop

A breakeven stop is a tool we employ to protect our days beginning balance. After we get our 4 points to “pay for the trade” we can use the 4 points as our risk capital. So we adjust our stop to use that profit as a capital preservation tool.

Market On Close – MOC

Buy or Sell an instrument @ market during the closing range.

Match

Matches are about recognizing capital flow. We want to know which of the Indices are leading and which are lagging. Furthermore and importantly, we are looking for match ups in the different Indices at Pax’s targets. These are significant matches. When targets match in Indices and related markets such as bonds, metals and currencies then we have a major target or level from which to make bigger trading decisions.

Mid-Week Shuffle

The Mid-Week shuffle (often times involves “Rip Your Face Off” contra-trend direction) is a time when markets are trying to affirm or change direction.This involves instruments that are trying to relieve the directional pressure(RSI’s) – general price action that tries to drive out directional players.

Outside Reversal Higher – ORH(Not to be confused with the Opening Range High)

Outside Reversal Higher. When a market’s price range for a particular period is outside the prior period’s range, it is an outside range. A new low from the prior period or bar followed by a new high and a close over the previous bars high – this is an ORH. These are significant as they often occur at the end of a primary downtrend. Multiple time frames can be considered and their significance weighted with other technical factors. They can telegraph big trend changes.

Outside Reversal Lower – ORL(Not to be confused with the Opening Range Low)

Outside Reversal Lower. When a market’s price range for a particular period is outside the prior period’s range, it is an outside range. A new high from the prior period or bar followed by a new low and a close below the previous bars low – this is an ORL. These are significant as they as they often occur at the end of a primary uptrend. Multiple time frames can be considered and their significance weighted with other technical factors. They can telegraph big trend changes.

Why are these important?The(OR)Outside Reversal levels are typically where shorter-term players have “Trailing” or “Resting” stops for profit protection. We identify and track these areas to determine if a trend is abating or it’s just a level that is washing out shorter-time frame investors.This is where the rubber meets the road and direction is decided.

Pay for the trade

A first target that enables us to protect our initial balance or be used as risk capital.

Price Action

As technicians we want to see how a particular instrument reacts at a specific price or level.
Is the instrument holding or failing at a specific price or predetermined level? Does the instrument reject or follow through in direction?

Risk On/Off

Risk Onis generally a concerted buying of stocks and high yielding assets generated by easy money looking for a return.
Risk Off is a deleveraging of those trades.Investors sell ( liquidate holdings ) across all asset classes and buy Bonds for safety.

Runner(s)

Positions that follow the capital flow over multiple days, weeks and even months.

Scratch Stop

A scratch stop is a stop loss order placed at the exact price we initiated the trade. We are not anchored to price. We employ this stop once the market gives us more than a point or 2 of potential profit but does not pay us our 4 points. If price comes back to OR and stops us out for scratch and moves back out we can always the trade back on. We also will employ a scratch stop after we have paid for our trade to protect the entire 4 points as profit.

SPU/BOND

Long S&P 500 Futures / Short 30 Year.Bond Futures. This is an indicator of Capital Flow – “Is money is moving into equities and out of Bonds?”

Time Frame Trading

While some short term traders consider a time frame in the minutes or minute, we have a much broader view. We refer to when different regional players come into the market. This can be Europe’s opening and Asia’s close or the U.S. opening of Futures through London’s close and NYC’s lunch time. The bigger time frames always start and stop at the end or beginning of a major Financial center’s trading hours. This is when we look for order flow to ebb, and possibly change direction.

Trade Location

The level or area to best manage your risk. This comes down toIntelligent Risk Management.Where can an investor initiate a trade with a defined risk parameter (STOP).
Where can you initiate a trade and have a reasonable chance of success?
In other words… know where you’re wrong. This has two key elements… Timing and Technical level. Both need to be correct.
This is thewhere and when, very crucial for low risk investing and trading.

The Opening Range | The PAX Group (2024)
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