Q4 2021 Review: Inside Bar Momentum Strategy 2.0 (2024)

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This strategy had a stellar run in Q3, so the bar has been set pretty high for Q4.

Did it finish 2021 strong? Here are the numbers!

If this is the first time you’re reading about this strategy, I suggest you take a look at thesystem rulesbefore reading on.

Also, this version makes use ofan adjusted stop loss size (from the original 20% of the first candlestick to 40% of its length) on both USD/JPY and GBP/JPY.

Note that I’m assuming 1% risk per position in crunching the percentage gains and losses.

Here’s the tally for USD/JPY:

Q4 2021 Review: Inside Bar Momentum Strategy 2.0 (1)

This pair caught 23 valid inside bar signals for the period, winning 19 positions or 79.17% of it all.

That’s even better than its previous 79.17% win rate in Q3, but did it catch bigger wins?

Well, not exactly.

The pair was able to rack up 238 pips or a 20.54% gain, just shy of the earlier 257-pip or 23.94% win in Q3. Still not bad!

It had another impressive winning streak of 15 trades that bagged 17.62% in gains, erasing the 3.39% loss snagged during its longest losing streak of 3 trades.

Its average gain of 1.30% is also slightly larger than its average loss of 1.05%, which gives it a positive expectancy.

Now here’s how GBP/JPY turned out:

Q4 2021 Review: Inside Bar Momentum Strategy 2.0 (2)

Guppy also scored 238 pips for the period but racked up only 10.46% in gains.

This came from 28 valid signals, 17 of which or 70.38% turned out to be winners.

Its average win of 1.26% is much larger than its average loss of 1.09%, although it only had a pretty short maximum winning streak of four trades.

With that, the Inside Bar Momentum Strategy was able to end up with a 476-pip or 31% gain for Q4 2021.

That comes pretty close to its stellar 33.36% win in Q3, adding to the16.96% gainin Q2and 22.98% win in Q1.

That’s a grand total of 104.3% in winnings for the whole year!

Q4 2021 Review: Inside Bar Momentum Strategy 2.0 (2024)

FAQs

How accurate is inside bar trading strategy? ›

Ideally, the Inside Bar should form within the Mother Bar's upper or lower half. An Inside Bar formation right after a price breakout in the current trend provides the most accurate signals. This is because it indicates that the current trend is going to end, and the market will reverse.

How to spot an inside bar? ›

Identifying the Inside Bar on Trading Charts

Compare the high and low range: Check if the high and low range of the subsequent candle is entirely contained within the high and low range of the preceding candlestick.

Is inside bar bullish or bearish? ›

An inside bar can be either bullish or bearish, depending on its context within the price action. If it forms within a downtrend, it can be considered bearish, indicating potential continuation. If it forms within an uptrend, it can be seen as bullish, suggesting a potential continuation of the upward trend.

What is the big bar candle strategy? ›

The big bar strategy in scalping involves identifying significant price movements or "big bars" on a shorter time frame chart, typically using candlestick patterns. Here's a simplified approach: 1. Identify big bars: Look for large and prominent candlestick patterns that indicate a strong price movement.

Which trading strategy has the highest success rate? ›

Indicator-Based Directional Trading

This strategy uses an indicator to determine the direction of the trade. The indicator provides a clear signal when it's time to enter or exit a trade, making it easy to work with. Traders who use this strategy can expect to see consistent results and high success rates.

Which trading indicator has the highest accuracy? ›

Which is one of the most accurate trading indicators? The most accurate for trading is the Relative Strength Index. It is considered one of the best momentum indicators for intraday trading. It helps investors identify the shares which are bought and sold in the market.

What is the success rate of inside bar? ›

This pair caught 23 valid inside bar signals for the period, winning 19 positions or 79.17% of it all. That's even better than its previous 79.17% win rate in Q3, but did it catch bigger wins? Well, not exactly. The pair was able to rack up 238 pips or a 20.54% gain, just shy of the earlier 257-pip or 23.94% win in Q3.

What is a bullish inside bar pattern? ›

An “inside bar” pattern is a two-bar price action trading strategy in which the inside bar is smaller and within the high to low range of the prior bar, i.e. the high is lower than the previous bar's high, and the low is higher than the previous bar's low.

Is Inside Bar profitable? ›

There's no doubt that inside bars can be a profitable way to trade the Forex market, equity, commodity or any other market. After all, it's a setup that it teaches as part of the price action course and one that has served extremely well. However, it isn't a setup that occurs often, at least not in a favorable context.

What is the 15 min inside bar strategy? ›

If you are a scalper, you can use the inside bar in a 15-minute timeframe or lower. Using this forex trading strategy, you look for the inside bar in an uptrend or downtrend, wait for the pattern to fully appear, and double-check the price action through an indicator or support/resistance levels.

What is inside bar false breakout? ›

The Fakey Pattern (Inside Bar False Break Out)

When price initially breaks out from the inside bar pattern but then quickly reverses, creating a false-break, and closes back within the range of the mother bar or inside bar, we have a fakey pattern. So, think of it like this: Inside Bar + False-Breakout = Fakey pattern.

What is the 3 candle rule in trading? ›

This triple candlestick pattern indicates that the downtrend is possibly over and that a new uptrend has started. For a valid three inside up candlestick formation, look for these properties: The first candle should be found at the bottom of a downtrend and is characterized by a long bearish candlestick.

What are the three strong bullish candlestick patterns? ›

All three patterns indicate strong buying pressure and can be an entry signal for a bullish position.
  • Three white soldiers. This pattern consists of three consecutive candlesticks with green bodies and small upper shadows. ...
  • Bullish engulfing pattern. ...
  • Hammer.
Apr 26, 2022

Is inside bar trading profitable? ›

There's no doubt that inside bars can be a profitable way to trade the Forex market, equity, commodity or any other market. After all, it's a setup that it teaches as part of the price action course and one that has served extremely well. However, it isn't a setup that occurs often, at least not in a favorable context.

What are the most accurate patterns in trading? ›

Here's our list of 10 popular and reliable stock chart patterns used in technical analysis:
  • Triangle patterns.
  • Flags and pennants patterns.
  • Cup and handle pattern.
  • Wedge pattern.
  • Rounding tops and bottoms pattern.
  • Inverse head and shoulders pattern.
  • Three white soldiers and three black crows pattern.
  • Rectangle pattern.
Feb 28, 2024

How accurate are trading patterns? ›

Head and shoulders patterns, whether normal or inverted, are the most reliable chart patterns there are. At 83% accuracy, it is easy to see why they are also the most popular for traders all over the world.

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