MACD Triple free trading strategy (2024)

FAQs

What is the success rate of MACD strategy? ›

MACD with PRC has a 90% success rate. A stock's moving averages should at least approach one another, if not cross, before you act on that stock. MACDs rely on three exponential moving averages instead of one or two. Look for patterns where the three moving averages come together closely.

The standard MACD settings (12, 26, 9) are time-tested and widely used, offering a good balance for various market conditions. They tend to be reliable for capturing broader market trends.

The strategy is to buy – or close a short position – when the MACD crosses above the zero line, and sell – or close a long position – when the MACD crosses below the zero line. This method should be used carefully, as the delayed nature means that fast, choppy markets would often see the signals issued too late.

MACD: Simple Strategy

The Signal Line is just an EMA of the MACD Line for 9 periods. Since it is a MACD line average, it follows behind the formation of the MACD line. A bullish crossover happens when the MACD line turns upwards and crosses beyond the signal line.

MACD is a popular technical indicator used by traders across many different markets, however its usefulness has been questioned. One of the main problems with divergence is that it can often signal a possible reversal but then no actual reversal actually happens—it can produce a false positive.

Key Takeaways. MACD is a trend-following momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of a security's price. Traders use the MACD to identify entry and exit points for trades. MACD is used by technical traders in stock, bond, commodities, and FX markets.

The Schaff Trend Cycle (STC) is a technical analysis indicator used in trading and investing to identify trends and generate trading signals. The STC indicator helps to identify trends in a smoother and more responsive manner compared to traditional MAs and even under certain parameters, the MACD.

The Bottom Line

The standard setting for MACD is the difference between the 12- and 26-period EMAs. Chartists looking for more sensitivity may try a shorter short-term moving average and a longer long-term moving average. MACD(5,35,5) is more sensitive than MACD(12,26,9) and might be better suited for weekly charts.

Traders often use MACD to identify potential trend reversals or momentum shifts. A common strategy involves looking for buy signals when the MACD line crosses above the signal line and sell signals when it crosses below.

The MACD is known for its accuracy in identifying trends and momentum in the market, while the RSI is better at detecting overbought or oversold conditions. Despite their usefulness, both indicators can produce false signals if used in isolation or with the default setting.

How do you exit a MACD strategy? ›

Traders commonly exit their positions when the MACD crosses over in the opposite direction of the ongoing trend at the time of opening a trade. For instance, if a trader entered at a Golden Cross, they could exit when the MACD line crosses below the signal line.

For daily charts, many traders find the default MACD settings (12, 26, 9) to be very effective. This timeframe captures the broader market trends and helps filter out market noise. Combine MACD with other indicators like RSI or Bollinger Bands when analyzing a 1-day chart for a more comprehensive market view.

The MACD Triple strategy bases itself on the moving average convergence divergence indicator (MACD - 12,26,9). The MACD is analyzed in three time frames: 4 hours, 1 hour and 15 minutes. Notice that the ratio of each time frame to the next is 4:1. The 1-hour and 4-hour MACDs serve as trend filters.

MACD Formula

MACD is calculated by subtracting the long-term EMA (26 periods) from the short-term EMA (12 periods). An EMA is a moving average (MA) that places a greater weight and significance on the most recent data points.

While the MACD has many strengths and can help traders spot trend reversals, it is not infallible and struggles, particularly in sideways markets. Since the MACD is based on underlying price points, overbought and oversold signals are not as effective as a pure volume-based oscillator.

One such trading strategy leverages two critical technical indicators — the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) and the Relative Strength Index (RSI). Studies show that this powerful combination can yield a striking 80% success rate.

Is MACD a good indicator? No, our research shows that MACD is not a good indicator on standard settings using standard charts. It has a low success rate of 3 to 50%, with an average of 60% of losing trades.